🏈 Week 11 Picks

Definitely an interesting week for Picks. The AI is liking quite a few underdogs.

We’ll start with the High Confidence Wins: MIA, HOU, DET.

Here are five underdogs the AI is liking this week:

WAS +2.5 “The Dolphins have a clear edge in offensive and defensive efficiency, as well as key down success rate. However, the Commanders have been competitive on the road, and the line may be inflated due to public perception, creating potential value on Washington as the underdog.”

TEN +6 “Upset Potential:

1. Letdown Spot: The Texans may overlook the struggling Titans, leading to a closer-than-expected game.
2. Revenge Narrative: The Titans may be highly motivated to avenge their earlier loss to the Texans.
3. Momentum: The Titans’ 6-game losing streak could create a “must-win” mentality, while the Texans are coming off a loss.”

CIN +5.5 “Upset Potential:

1. Divisional rivalry game, which can often produce unpredictable outcomes.
2. Bengals coming off a loss, while Steelers are potentially in a letdown spot.
3. Burrow’s absence is a significant loss, but the Bengals still have offensive talent that could keep them competitive.”

DET “The Lions’ offensive firepower, potential for a letdown spot for the Eagles, and momentum from their 6-3 start make them a compelling upset pick. The data suggests the Lions have a realistic path to either winning outright or covering the spread.”

TB +5.5 “Upset Potential:

• Buccaneers’ 4-1 road record and recent momentum (4 wins in last 5 games)
• Bills coming off a tough loss, potentially in a letdown spot
• Injuries to key Bills defenders (Thompson, Johnson, Lewis) could impact their ability to slow down the Buccaneers’ passing attack”

Visit my blog https://thepickten.com/?page_id=282 for the rest of the Picks.