Last week until the playoffs and for some teams the last chance to make it!
We are going to focus on the games that matter.
CAR @ TB: TB Win, Winner’s in Loser out “Tampa Bay holds a clear statistical advantage, particularly on the offensive side of the ball. The data supports an “under” play on the total points, as well as a Buccaneers -2.5 spread bet. While the Panthers have shown the ability to pull off upsets, the Buccaneers’ home-field advantage and the potential impact of key injuries make them the more likely winner in this high-stakes divisional clash.”
TEN @ JAX: JAX Win, JAX possible 1stseed AFC “The Jaguars have a clear statistical edge on both offense and defense compared to the Titans. Their passing attack and run defense are particularly strong, while the Titans struggle in both areas. The Titans will be missing some important contributors, while the Jaguars’ losses are less impactful.”
MIA @ NE: NE Win, NE possible 1stseed AFC “The Patriots are the clear favorites at home. However, the Dolphins have shown the ability to keep games close, with four of their seven losses coming by 10 points or fewer. They also have a history of playing the Patriots tough, winning four of the last five meetings. Key factors that could create upset potential include the Dolphins’ strong running game with Achane (if healthy) and the Patriots’ recent struggles against divisional opponents at home (1-5 ATS in their last six).”
LAC @ DEN: DEN Win, DEN 1stseed AFC “The Broncos are the clear favorites at home, and with the Chargers missing their starting quarterback, they should be able to secure the win and the No. 1 seed in the AFC. However, the Chargers have been undefeated against divisional opponents this season, and they have the potential to keep this game close, especially if their defense can slow down the Broncos’ offense.
Ultimately, I believe the Broncos will win this game, but the Chargers could cover the spread, making the Broncos -12.5 a bit of a risky play.”
BAL @ PIT: BAL Win, Winner’s in Loser out “The Ravens are currently 3.5-point favorites on the road, and this line seems justified based on the data. Baltimore’s offense has a clear edge over Pittsburgh’s defense, and the Steelers are dealing with significant injuries to key offensive weapons.
That said, the Steelers have been a tough out at home, going 5-2 straight up and 4-3 against the spread in their last 7 games at Acrisure Stadium. The Ravens’ recent struggles on the road (3-5 ATS) also create some upset potential.”
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