🏈 Week 14 Results

🎯 Prediction Type Analysis

🏆 Win Predictions

50.0%

6/12 correct

📊 Spread Predictions

58.3%

7/12 correct

🎲 Over/Under Predictions

58.3%

7/12 correct

Breakdown shows accuracy for different types of predictions: game winners, spread/cover bets, and over/under totals

⭐ Noteworthy Bets Results

Noteworthy Bets Win Rate

30.8%

8 / 26 correct • -$11.16 profit

Noteworthy Criteria:
• Double Underdog WIN: Same team for WIN + SPREAD with positive ML and spread between +3.5 to +7
• Selective UNDER: UNDER bets: NBA any, NFL/NCAA/NHL high confidence only (58.7% win rate)
• Med Fav WIN: Manual WIN pick with moneyline between -199 and -110
• Heavy Fav Spread: Team with ML ≤ -250, bet the spread to cover
• High Conf Win: High confidence WIN predictions (70.7% win rate, +34.95% ROI)
• High Conf Spread: High confidence SPREAD predictions (64.1% win rate, +22.38% ROI)

Game	Bet Types	Picks & Odds	Results
TEN at CLE	⭐ DOUBLE UNDERDOG WIN 🎲 UNDERDOG SPREADSELECTIVE UNDER🎯 HIGH CONF SPREAD	TEN WIN: +170 | SPREAD: +4.5TEN +4.5 High Conf Spread	WIN: ✅ | SPREAD: ✅✅ BOTH HIT❌✅
MIA at NYJ	⭐ DOUBLE UNDERDOG WINSELECTIVE UNDER🔥 HIGH CONF WIN🎯 HIGH CONF SPREAD	NYJ WIN: +125 | SPREAD: +3.5NYJ ML: +125NYJ +3.5 High Conf Spread	WIN: ❌ | SPREAD: ❌❌ MISSED❌❌❌
WSH at MIN	SELECTIVE UNDER💰 MED FAV WIN	WSH ML: -125	✅❌
NO at TB	SELECTIVE UNDER🏆 HEAVY FAV SPREAD	TB to cover ML: -450 | Spread: -8.5	❌❌
PIT at BAL	SELECTIVE UNDER🏆 HEAVY FAV SPREAD🔥 HIGH CONF WIN🎯 HIGH CONF SPREAD	BAL to cover ML: -250 | Spread: -6BAL ML: -250PIT +6 High Conf Spread	❌❌❌✅
HOU at KC	SELECTIVE UNDER💰 MED FAV WIN	KC ML: -185	✅❌
IND at JAX	💰 MED FAV WIN	IND ML: -130	❌
SEA at ATL	🏆 HEAVY FAV SPREAD	SEA to cover ML: -350 | Spread: -7	✅
DEN at LV	🏆 HEAVY FAV SPREAD	DEN to cover ML: -425 | Spread: -7.5	❌
CHI at GB	🏆 HEAVY FAV SPREAD	GB to cover ML: -300 | Spread: -6.5	✅
CIN at BUF	🏆 HEAVY FAV SPREAD🔥 HIGH CONF WIN🎯 HIGH CONF SPREAD	BUF to cover ML: -275 | Spread: -6BUF ML: -275BUF -5.5 High Conf Spread	❌✅❌
LAR at ARI	🏆 HEAVY FAV SPREAD🔥 HIGH CONF WIN	LAR to cover ML: -425 | Spread: -8.5LAR ML: -425	✅✅

🔥 High Confidence Picks Performance

🏆 Win Picks

50.0%

2/4 correct

$-1.40

📊 Spread Picks

50.0%

2/4 correct

$-0.18

🎯 Total Picks

55.6%

5/9 correct

+$0.55

Performance breakdown for high confidence predictions by type

🎯 Prediction Analysis by Game

SEA at ATL

Predicted Winner: SEA

Actual Winner: SEA

Final Score: 37 – 9

Result: ✅ CORRECT

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	SEA	✅
📊 SPREAD	SEA -7.5	✅
🎯 TOTAL	OVER 44.5 44.5Actual Total: 46	✅

CIN at BUF

Predicted Winner: BUF

Actual Winner: BUF

Final Score: 34 – 39

Result: ✅ CORRECT

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	BUF	✅
📊 SPREAD	BUF -5.5	❌
🎯 TOTAL	OVER 53.5 53.5Actual Total: 73	✅

TEN at CLE

Predicted Winner: TEN

Actual Winner: TEN

Final Score: 31 – 29

Result: ✅ CORRECT

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	TEN	✅
📊 SPREAD	TEN +4.5	✅
🎯 TOTAL	UNDER 40.5 40.5Actual Total: 60	❌

WSH at MIN

Predicted Winner: WSH

Actual Winner: MIN

Final Score: 0 – 31

Result: ❌ WRONG

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	WSH	❌
📊 SPREAD	WSH -1.5	❌
🎯 TOTAL	UNDER 41.5 41.5Actual Total: 31	✅

MIA at NYJ

Predicted Winner: NYJ

Actual Winner: MIA

Final Score: 34 – 10

Result: ❌ WRONG

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	NYJ	❌
📊 SPREAD	NYJ +3.5	❌
🎯 TOTAL	UNDER 41.5 41.5Actual Total: 44	❌

NO at TB

Predicted Winner: TB

Actual Winner: NO

Final Score: 24 – 20

Result: ❌ WRONG

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	TB	❌
📊 SPREAD	NO +8.5	✅
🎯 TOTAL	UNDER 41.5 41.5Actual Total: 44	❌

IND at JAX

Predicted Winner: IND

Actual Winner: JAX

Final Score: 19 – 36

Result: ❌ WRONG

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	IND	❌
📊 SPREAD	JAX +5	✅
🎯 TOTAL	OVER 51.5 51.5Actual Total: 55	✅

PIT at BAL

Predicted Winner: BAL

Actual Winner: PIT

Final Score: 27 – 22

Result: ❌ WRONG

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	BAL	❌
📊 SPREAD	PIT +6	✅
🎯 TOTAL	UNDER 42.5 42.5Actual Total: 49	❌

DEN at LV

Predicted Winner: DEN

Actual Winner: DEN

Final Score: 24 – 17

Result: ✅ CORRECT

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	DEN	✅
📊 SPREAD	LV +9.5	✅
🎯 TOTAL	OVER 43.5 43.5Actual Total: 41	❌

CHI at GB

Predicted Winner: GB

Actual Winner: GB

Final Score: 21 – 28

Result: ✅ CORRECT

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	GB	✅
📊 SPREAD	CHI +6.5	❌
🎯 TOTAL	OVER 44.5 44.5Actual Total: 49	✅

LAR at ARI

Predicted Winner: LAR

Actual Winner: LAR

Final Score: 45 – 17

Result: ✅ CORRECT

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	LAR	✅
📊 SPREAD	ARI +6.5	❌
🎯 TOTAL	OVER 48 48Actual Total: 62	✅

HOU at KC

Predicted Winner: KC

Actual Winner: HOU

Final Score: 20 – 10

Result: ❌ WRONG

Final Predictions by Type:

Type	Prediction	Result
🏆 WIN	KC	❌
📊 SPREAD	HOU +3.5	✅
🎯 TOTAL	UNDER 41.5 41.5Actual Total: 30	✅