The Pick Ten

🏈 Week 12 Dollar Bills

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by

joshua
in

Josh Allen and the Bills silenced the haters last week as they picked apart Tampa Bay’s defense. It may not be that easy against Houston this week, and our AI is siding with the latter.

High Confidence HOU +5.5

Medium Confidence HOU Win

“Texans may provide value as home underdogs, and the UNDER 43.5 points could be the smarter play in this matchup. The Bills’ offensive firepower is undeniable, but the Texans’ defensive strengths, key injuries, and potential for a letdown spot create a compelling case for the underdog Texans to keep this game close.

Offensive/Defensive Matchup Breakdown:

  1. The Bills have a clear offensive edge, ranking 2nd in yards per game and 4th in points per game, but the Texans’ defense has been stifling, ranking 1st in points allowed per game and 15th in sacks.
  2. The Bills’ red zone efficiency advantage (6th in red zone TD%) could be a key factor, but the Texans’ red zone defense (16th in red zone TD% allowed) could limit scoring.
  3. The Bills have more significant injuries, especially on defense, which could impact their overall performance.”

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