The Pick Ten

🏈 Week 7 Picks

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by

joshua
in

Last week we walked 4 dogs, and only 1 came home. Sadly our faith in the Browns was once again unfounded. But our pick of MIA +4.5 as a great value play certainly was! Also to note our AI was taking the points in nearly every game last week. Not even AI is immune to hubris.

This week it seems nuance is back. Here are 4 picks the AI is calling Profit Bets. All involve getting points with teams that have specific advantages the market is undervaluing.

Saints +5.5 at Bears

* Saints have won 8 straight vs Bears (completely ignored by market)

* Bears’ 3-game win streak against teams with 4-11 combined record

* Massive ground game advantage vs worst run defense in NFL

Falcons +2.5 at 49ers

* 49ers missing season-ending injuries to Warner and Bosa

* #1 rushing offense vs depleted run defense

* Sharp money moved line from -6.5 to -2.5

Raiders +12 at Chiefs

* Raiders covered 4 of last 5 at Arrowhead as big underdogs

* 12 points too many for divisional rivalry

* Chiefs missing LT creates pass protection issues

Vikings +2.5 vs Eagles

* Eagles rank 30th in total offense

* Vikings coming off bye at home

* Public overvaluing Eagles based on championship pedigree

Visit my blog https://thepickten.com/?p=594 for the rest of the Picks.

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