The Pick Ten

🏈 Week 4 Predictions

Last week all the AI’s performed pretty similar getting around 5 or 6 out of 10 correct. We are once again tweaking our AI bets, trying to get something that represents a real prediction market. We’ve had it add at what odds each AI would change their bet for each game. I then did one round putting in the bets of each AI persona as they originally chose. After calculating the odds I then started with the riskiest players and one by one changed their bet according to their threshold. This week the odds are definitely more balanced compared to last week, where we ended up with some odds over 10-1. Also every underdog I highlighted got whooped the hell up so lets not speak of that…

This week the AI’s are really confident on the Chargers and Green Bay.

Here are some highlights from the AI reports:

LAC -6.5 β€œThis represents a classic mismatch scenario with elite team vs struggling team, experienced QB vs rookie, and strong defense vs weak offense converging in favor of the Chargers.”

GB -7 β€œThe research overwhelmingly supports Green Bay in what appears to be a significant mismatch due to Dallas’s defensive struggles and key offensive injuries.”

JAX +2.5 β€œ**HIGHEST CONFIDENCE PLAY:** Jaguars +3.5 – The market hasn’t fully adjusted for the devastating impact of losing Nick Bosa and multiple other key defenders.”

IND +3.5 β€œThe Colts’ balanced, efficient offense and their defensive front’s ability to disrupt the Rams’ passing attack should give them the edge in this close, high-scoring matchup. The Rams’ recent struggles and the Colts’ motivation to finally break their losing streak against them could also be deciding factors.”


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